MLB MVP Odds & Favorites 2025: Judge, Raleigh Continue to Battle While Ohtani Pulls Away
Aaron Judge looked to be running away as the favorite by the MLB MVP odds, but Cal Raleigh and his seemingly never-ending spree of home runs has closed the distance.
- Judge has been absolutely unreal this season, but Raleigh has recently matched him homer for homer and moved from odds of +10000 or longer to now around only +500
- Meanwhile, it's Ohtani who's pulled away from the pack after being in a tight race for the first couple of months of the season
- The best odds you can get for Ohtani are now -1800, which carry an implied probability of 94.74% that he'll win
- Ohtani returned to the mound sooner than expected, and if he performs as a true two-way player during the second half, this race is done
Be sure to read on for our best AI MLB MVP predictions! For those interested in a long shot to bet on, check out why I think Ronald Acuna is worth an NL MVP bet.
🔢 American League MVP odds 2025
Live 2025 AL MVP Award odds from our best MLB betting sites
🔢 National League MVP odds 2025
Live 2025 NL MVP odds from our best sports betting apps
🤖 AI prediction for MLB MVPs
For entertainment purposes, we asked ChatGPT to analyze trends and the current landscape to project this year's MLB MVPs in the AL and NL. ChatGPT is not recommended for betting advice but can provide additional information and insights into the betting market.
🏆 AL MVP Race
- Aaron Judge (Yankees) is the undisputed favorite, posting -10000 to -20000 lines across sportsbooks, implying a ~99%+ probability
- His batting numbers are staggering, with an average near .400
- FanDuel listed him at -8000 as of late May, crediting a massive ~98.8% implied win chance
- Top challenger: Bobby Witt Jr. (Royals) sits around +3000, up from pre-season +475, but still a distant second
- Dark horses:
- Cal Raleigh (Mariners): +2200 to +2500; holding ~3.8–4% implied probability
- Others in the +8000 to +12500 range include Jose Ramirez, Gunnar Henderson, and Tarik Skubal - mostly speculative picks
Insight: With public consensus nearly back in on Judge, there’s little value remaining in favorites. The savvy betting play lies in deep value: small stakes on Raleigh (+2500) or Witt (+3000) could pay off if Judge cools off later in the season.
🧢 NL MVP Race
- Shohei Ohtani (Dodgers) leads with minus-money odds across all sportsbooks
- He's among the league leaders in all hitting categories
- Analysts believe Ohtani remains in dominant form despite limited pitching activity
- Chasing pack:
- Pete Crow-Armstrong (+1500), Corbin Carroll (+1600), Fernando Tatis Jr. (+3000), Kyle Tucker (+3000), Freddie Freeman (+2500)
- Pete Alonso is at +3500; Juan Soto, Francisco Lindor, and Kyle Schwarber are further back in the +4000 range
Insight: Though Ohtani has the edge, the NL remains more competitive than the AL. Corbin Carroll (+1600) is drawing attention due to noticeable line movement from opening odds of +2500. The post-injury return of stars like Mookie Betts also presents sleeper potential (~100/1 range).
📈 Odds movement & context
- In the AL, Judge’s line has tightened dramatically; his -10000 to -20000 range shows no signs of letting go
- Cal Raleigh and Bobby Witt Jr. have seen shifts raising potential value plays
- In the NL, Corbin Carroll has jumped from +2500 up to +1600, hinting at betting pressure or improved performance
- Ohtani continues to be a home-run machine, boosting his odds despite no mound appearances yet
🧠 Betting strategy takeaways
- Low-risk favorites: Judge for safe, but low return. Ohtani offers more upside at shorter NL odds.
- Value plays: Raleigh and Witt worth a small wager in AL for extended season scenarios. In NL, Carroll is a standout pick with undervalued odds; others like Crow‑Armstrong/Freeman are solid tier-two options.
- Sleepers to watch: Juan Soto, given the Mets’ improvements, could gain traction if narrative builds.
🗠 MLB MVP opening odds
Odds as of March 2025.
| American League | Odds | National League | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge | +300 | Shohei Ohtani | +150 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | +300 | Juan Soto | +600 |
| Gunnar Henderson | +800 | Fernando Tatis Jr. | +850 |
| Corey Seager | +1000 | Mookie Betts | +1000 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | +1200 | Bryce Harper | +1400 |
| Yordan Alvarez | +1300 | Kyle Tucker | +1600 |
| Jose Ramirez | +1600 | Elly De La Cruz | +1800 |
| Mike Trout | +1600 | Francisco Lindor | +2000 |
| Julio Rodriguez | +1800 | Corbin Carroll | +3000 |
| Rafael Devers | +3000 | Ronald Acuna Jr. | +3000 |
📜 MLB MVP odds history
🏆 Past AL MVP winners
| Year | Name | Position | Preseason odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Aaron Judge, NYY | OF | +550 |
| 2023 | Shohei Ohtani, LAA | DH/SP | +200 |
| 2022 | Aaron Judge, NYY | OF | +2000 |
| 2021 | Shohei Ohtani, LAA | DH/SP | +3000 |
| 2020 | Jose Abreu, CWS | 1B | OFF |
| 2019 | Mike Trout, LAA | OF | +125 |
| 2018 | Mookie Betts, BOS | OF | +2500 |
| 2017 | Jose Altuve, HOU | 2B | +1200 |
| 2016 | Mike Trout, LAA | OF | +160 |
| 2015 | Josh Donaldson, TOR | 3B | +1600 |
🏆 Past NL MVP winners
| Year | Name | Position | Preseason odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Shohei Ohtani, LAD | DH | +900 |
| 2023 | Ronald Acuna Jr., ATL | OF | +900 |
| 2022 | Paul Goldschmidt, STL | 1B | +6600 |
| 2021 | Bryce Harper, PHI | OF | +1700 |
| 2020 | Freddie Freeman, ATL | 1B | +2500 |
| 2019 | Cody Bellinger, LAD | OF | +3000 |
| 2018 | Christian Yelich, MIL | OF | +15000 |
| 2017 | Giancarlo Stanton, MIA | OF | +4500 |
| 2016 | Kris Bryant, CHC | 3B/OF | +1000 |
| 2015 | Bryce Harper, WAS | OF | +2000 |
❓ MLB MVP FAQs
Who are the MLB MVP favorites?
Aaron Judge of the New York Yankees and Shohei Ohtani of the Los Angeles Dodgers are the favorites by the MLB MVP odds in the AL and NL, respectively.
Who won the MLB MVP Awards last year?
Los Angeles Dodgers designated hitter Shohei Ohtani won his third MVP award and first in the National League during 2024.
In the American League, New York Yankees outfielder Aaron Judge won for the second time.
When will the MLB MVP Awards be decided?
The winners of the 2024 MLB MVP Awards were announced on Thursday, Nov. 21.
Who has won the most MVP awards?
Barry Bonds' seven career MVP awards are the most in MLB history. No one else has won more than three, with 10 players tied at that number.
🏟️ MLB betting odds pages
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