MLB Rookie of the Year Odds & Favorites 2025: Wilson Still Small Favorite, Misiorowski Emerges in NL

Last Updated: July 3, 2025 1:56 PM EDT • 5 minute read X Social Google News Link

Jacob Wilson is still the favorite in the AL by the latest MLB Rookie of the Year odds, but teammate Nick Kurtz and Houston Astros slugger Cam Smith are chasing him down. Meanwhile, a true favorite has finally emerged in the NL.
- Wilson is among the league leaders in hits, but he's slowed down recently. That's allowed Kurtz and Smith to close the gap on the oddsboard
- When the season began, it was Roki Sasaki who served as the favorite. He hit the IL but a new pitcher took his place, as Jacob Misiorowski is the most recent player to earn front-runner status in the NL
Be sure to read on for our best AI MLB Rookie of the Year predictions!
🔢 American League Rookie of the Year odds 2025
Live MLB Rookie of the Year odds via our best MLB betting sites.
🔢 National League Rookie of the Year odds 2025
Live MLB Rookie of the Year odds via our best sports betting sites.
🤖 AI prediction for MLB Rookie of the Year
For entertainment purposes, we asked ChatGPT to analyze Rookie of the Year trends and the current landscape to project this year's MLB Rookie of the Year in the AL and NL. ChatGPT is not recommended for betting advice but can provide additional information and insights into the betting market.
🏅 AL Rookie of the Year
Jacob Wilson (Oakland A’s) is the clear front-runner:
- Odds range from –550 to -1000 across sportsbooks
- His current slash line: approximately .366 batting average, with standout defense at short
- He’s drawing heavy betting volume - more than 31% of total handle and 11% to 12% of tickets, marking him as the market liability
Jac Caglianone (Kansas City Royals) trails at +800 to +1500, making up ~7% to 10% of bets
Roman Anthony (Boston Red Sox) is emerging, listed around +1500, recently called-up and eyeing increased value if he secures a larger role
Other AL names like Jasson Domínguez, Kristian Campbell, and Cam Smith hover long-shot territory (+2500 to +5000)
✅ AL insight: Wilson is the safe bet - but with his heavy action, the returns have shrunk. For more upside, consider Caglianone or Anthony on small speculative plays; if Wilson stalls or Anthony breaks out, the payoff could be significant.
🏆 NL Rookie of the Year
This race is much more fragmented:
Drake Baldwin (Atlanta Braves) is the current favorite at +200, commanding around 33% implied probability and 22% of total handle
Agustin Ramirez (Marlins) follows at around +500
Matt Shaw (Cubs) and Chad Patrick (Brewers) cluster at around +700
Others in the mix: Hye‑seong Kim at +1500, Logan Henderson at +2000, Bubba Chandler and Dylan Crews deeper at +2000 to +5000
Market feedback indicates volatility: Early favorite Roki Sasaki dropped due to IL issues, and the lead has shifted among Baldwin, Ramirez, Shaw, and others
✅ NL insight: Baldwin is on top, but with a shorter price. If you believe in his production is staying full-time, a bet here may be smart. However, Matt Shaw offers value at +700 and shows growing support. Chad Patrick is another sleeper worth small consideration.
🎯 Betting Strategies
- Safe bets: Wilson (AL) and Baldwin (NL) – heavy favorites with predictable performance
- Value upside plays: Caglianone and Anthony for AL on modest stakes. Matt Shaw or Chad Patrick for NL, especially Shaw with recent buzz.
- Watch for trend shifts: Anthony’s playing time or Baldwin's usage could shift odds quickly.
🗠 MLB Rookie of the Year opening odds
Odds as of January 2025 via BetMGM.
American League | Odds | National League | Odds |
---|---|---|---|
Jasson Dominguez | +600 | Roki Sasaki | +200 |
Coby Mayo | +700 | Dylan Crews | +400 |
Jacob Wilson | +700 | Matt Shaw | +400 |
Roman Anthony | +700 | Bubba Chandler | +1100 |
Jackson Jobe | +800 | Jordan Lawlar | +1400 |
Kristian Campbell | +1100 | Andrew Painter | +2000 |
Kumar Rocker | +1300 | Thomas Saggese | +2000 |
Christian Moore | +1600 | Tirso Ornelas | +2200 |
Chase DeLauter | +2000 | Rhett Lowder | +2500 |
Will Wagner | +2000 | Hye-Seong Kim | +3000 |
Travis Bazzana | +2200 | Agustin Ramirez | +3500 |
Colson Montgomery | +2200 | Luisangel Acuna | +3500 |
Juan Brito | +2500 | Quinn Matthews | +3500 |
Tomoyuki Sugano | +2500 | Caleb Durbin | +3500 |
Trey Sweeney | +2500 | Dalton Rushing | +4000 |
📜 AL Rookie of the Year betting history
Year | Player | Position | Preseason odds |
---|---|---|---|
2024 | Luis Gil | SP | N/A |
2023 | Gunnar Henderson | SS | +250 |
2022 | Julio Rodriguez | OF | +400 |
2021 | Randy Arozarena | OF | +350 |
2020 | Kyle Lewis | OF | OFF |
2019 | Yordan Alvarez | DH/OF | +2000 |
2018 | Shohei Ohtani | DH/SP | N/A |
2017 | Aaron Judge | OF | N/A |
2016 | Michael Fulmer | SP | N/A |
2015 | Carlos Correa | SS | N/A |
📜 NL Rookie of the Year betting history
Year | Player | Position | Preseason odds |
---|---|---|---|
2024 | Paul Skenes | SP | +3000 |
2023 | Corbin Carroll | OF | +400 |
2022 | Michael Harris | OF | OFF |
2021 | Jonathan India | 2B | OFF |
2020 | Devin Williams | RP | OFF |
2019 | Pete Alonso | 1B | +600 |
2018 | Ronald Acuna | OF | N/A |
2017 | Cody Bellinger | OF | N/A |
2016 | Corey Seager | SS | N/A |
2015 | Kris Bryant | 3B/OF | N/A |
❓ MLB Rookie of the Year FAQs
Who are the Rookie of the Year favorites?
Jacob Wilson of the Athletics is the favorite in the AL by the MLB Rookie of the Year odds. Jacob Misiorowski leads in the NL.
When will the Rookie of the Year winners be announced?
The 2024 MLB Rookie of the Year Award winners were announced on Monday, Nov. 18. We expect the 2025 awards to be announced sometime in mid-November.
Who won the Rookie of the Year awards last year?
New York Yankees starting pitcher Luis Gil and Pittsburgh Pirates starting pitcher Paul Skenes won the AL and NL Rookie of the Year Awards, respectively, in 2024.
🏟️ MLB betting odds pages
💵 Best MLB betting sites
Looking to bet on Major League Baseball? Here are our best MLB betting sites and our best sportsbook promos for today's games:
- FanDuel Promo Code | Read our FanDuel Review
- DraftKings Promo Code | Read our DraftKings Review
(21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER)
* Bonuses not applicable in Ontario.

Andrew Brennan X social